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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Agile Planning Poker |
|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When estimates within the team diverge too much, it puts differing expectations on a common test bench. It separates rough complexity from unspoken assumptions. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 2-5 min je Item |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 3-9 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Relative Estimates, Assumption Notes, Split Candidates |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | EstimationAgileRelative sizingTeam |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
