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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Operations MORT Analysis |
|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | Mehrere Tage bis Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-6 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | MORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic Recommendations |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | Root causeSafetySystemicIncident |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
