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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration for Knowledge Mapping.
Knowledge Modeling
Knowledge Mapping
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.Knowledge Mapping makes knowledge, gaps, and transfer paths visible across a field. It fits when expertise should not just exist but also be findable and transferable.
Complexitysame
MediumMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
3-103-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsKnowledge Map, Critical Knowledge Areas, Transfer Plan
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
KnowledgeMappingRisk
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a Concept Map with concepts and labelled links
Knowledge Modeling
Concept Mapping
Systems Mapping method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Systems Mapping
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing