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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Product Strategy ICE Scoring |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When ideas need sorting quickly, it condenses impact, confidence, and effort into one compact score. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as an ICE table and top-ideas list. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 30-60 min | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | ICE Table, Top Idea List | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | PrioritizationScoringGrowthDecision | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight |
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