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| Criterion | ![]() Systems Thinking Futures Wheel | ![]() Product Strategy DIBB | ![]() Operations Kepner-Tregoe |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. | For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-2 h | 2-8 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report | Problem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk Plan |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis | Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations |
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