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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration of a two-by-two Ansoff Matrix with four growth directions
Business Strategy
Ansoff Matrix
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLow
Timedifferent
60-120 min1-2 h45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
3-102-82-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportAnsoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of Three Horizons with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Three Horizons
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud