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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Facilitation Power Interest Grid |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When many stakeholders compete for attention at once, the Power Interest Grid sorts them by influence and stake. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as a Power Interest Grid and a stakeholder-specific strategy. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-4 Wochen | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Power Interest Grid, Strategy per Stakeholder |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StakeholdersFacilitationAlignmentPlanning |
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