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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy Ansoff Matrix |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Ansoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio |
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