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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic.For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
60-120 min60-180 min2-8 h
Participantsdifferent
3-104-202-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsCynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking NotesProblem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk Plan
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
ComplexitySensemakingDecision
Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Soft Systems Methodology.
Systems Thinking
Soft Systems Methodology
Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Paper illustration for 8D Problem Solving.
Operations
8D Problem Solving