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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
Paper illustration for Trade-off Analysis.
Decision Making
Trade-off Analysis
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.When an initiative stalls, the limit often lies not in the idea but in hard or soft boundary conditions. Constraint Analysis separates these limits and shows which of them can actually be shaped.With limited resources, quality, speed, cost, and risk almost always compete with each other. Trade-off Analysis makes these tensions explicit and prevents decisions from producing hidden side effects.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min30-90 min45-120 min
Participantsdifferent
3-102-82-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsConstraint List, Hard/Soft Classification, Option Impact Notes, Decision BoundariesTrade-off Matrix, Criteria List, Decision Rationale, Accepted Downsides
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
ConstraintsDecisionPlanningOptions
TradeoffsDecisionCriteriaOptions
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a decision table with criteria rows, weighted ratings, and a narrowly leading alternative.
Decision Making
Decision Matrix
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Decision Framing Workshop.
Decision Making
Decision Framing Workshop
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree