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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Knowledge Modeling Concept Mapping |  Operations Kepner-Tregoe |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | Concept Mapping arranges terms and relationships in a network that makes subject-matter connections tangible. It fits when a topic needs to be understood structurally rather than linearly. | For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-2 h | 2-8 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 1-8 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Concept Map, Relationship Labels, Knowledge Gaps | Problem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk Plan |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | KnowledgeConceptsMappingSensemaking | Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations |
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