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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Operations A3 Problem Solving |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 45-90 min | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-5 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | A3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause Analysis | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight |
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