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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |
|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. |
Complexitysame | High | High |
Timedifferent | 2-4 h | 1-4 h or multiple rounds |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 4-12 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | EstimationExpertsForecasting |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
