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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |
|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 2-4 h | 10-30 min je Item |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting |
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