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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Growth Flywheel |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 2-4 h | 60-120 min | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 3-8 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Flywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment Backlog | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | GrowthRetentionConversion | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |
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