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Criterion
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowHigh
Timedifferent
2-4 h5-20 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-83-201-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
EstimationEffortRisk
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas