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| Criterion |  Growth Flywheel |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 20–45 min | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | Small cross-functional group | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Flywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment Backlog | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | GrowthRetentionConversion | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |
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