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Criterion
Paper illustration for Failure Scenario Analysis.
Engineering
Failure Scenario Analysis
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLow
Timedifferent
1-3 h1-5 Tage20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
3-8NutzertrafficSmall cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Failure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response ActionsInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
FailureResilienceRisk
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing