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Criterion
Paper illustration for Failure Scenario Analysis.
Engineering
Failure Scenario Analysis
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Purposedifferent
In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
1-3 h60-120 min1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
3-82-8Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Failure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response ActionsConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note
Tagsno overlap
FailureResilienceRisk
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test