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| Criterion |  Engineering Failure Scenario Analysis |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h | 1-4 Wochen | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 6-30 Experten | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Failure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response Actions | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report |
Tagsno overlap | FailureResilienceRisk | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions |
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