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Criterion
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Intervention Mapping.
Systems Thinking
Intervention Mapping
Purposedifferent
The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.Intervention Mapping translates a need for change into a planned, evaluable program. The method connects target group, determinants, actions, and measurement into a traceable chain.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
60-120 min15-45 min1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
2-81-84-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesLogic Model, Change Objectives, Intervention Components, Evaluation Plan
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
ChangeSystems thinkingCapability
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation