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Criterion
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration of Outcome-Driven Innovation with its method-specific working model.
Product Discovery
Outcome-Driven Innovation
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Purposedifferent
The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.Outcome-Driven Innovation clarifies customer problems, solution opportunities, and evidence. It separates jobs, desired outcomes, importance, satisfaction, and opportunity, and captures results as desired outcome statements, an opportunity landscape, and segments by underserved needs.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLow
Timedifferent
60-120 minMehrere Wochen1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
2-82-6 researchers plus sampleNutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsDesired outcome statements, Opportunity landscape, Segmentation by underserved needs, Innovation hypothesesInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
OutcomesInnovationResearchQuantitative
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test