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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Agile NoEstimates |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | laufend | 1-4 h or multiple rounds |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 2-12 | 4-12 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | EstimationForecastingFlow | EstimationExpertsForecasting |
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