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Criterion
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Causal Loop Diagram workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Systems Thinking
Causal Loop Diagram
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Purposedifferent
The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.A Causal Loop Diagram makes feedback, reinforcement, and balance in a system legible. It uncovers side effects and self-reinforcement that stay hidden in linear explanations.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
60-120 min1-3 h1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
2-82-8Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsCausal Loop Diagram, Feedback Notes, Leverage PointsInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
FeedbackSystems thinkingCausalityDynamics
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test