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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation.When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowMedium
Timedifferent
5-20 min30-90 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
3-201-101-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsVUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning PlanArgument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight
SensemakingDecisionRationale
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Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Red Teaming method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Red Teaming
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing