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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowMedium
Timedifferent
5-20 min20-35 min30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
3-201-53-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsTest Card with a pre-set thresholdAffinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test