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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of ICE Scoring with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
ICE Scoring
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.When ideas need sorting quickly, it condenses impact, confidence, and effort into one compact score. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as an ICE table and top-ideas list.
Complexitysame
LowLowLow
Timedifferent
5-20 min1-5 Tage30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-20Nutzertraffic2-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteICE Table, Top Idea List
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
PrioritizationScoringGrowthDecision
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Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of a calibrated five-by-five risk matrix with response cards.
Decision Making
Risk Matrix