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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
5-20 minlaufend1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-202-126-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
EstimationForecastingFlow
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB