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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighHigh
Timedifferent
5-20 minHalf day1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-203-126-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsLeverage Map, Action StrategyExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing