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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration for PDCA Cycle.
Operations
PDCA Cycle
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.For an improvement that still has to prove itself in everyday work, the method runs it through small learning loops. It connects planning, checking, and standardization into a repeatable learning mode.
Complexitysame
LowLowLow
Timedifferent
5-20 min15-60 min1 h bis mehrere Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-202-91-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsPDCA Log, Experiment Plan, Learning Outcome, Standard Change
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
EstimationEffortAgile
Continuous improvementLeanExperiments
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Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Kaizen Event.
Operations
Kaizen Event
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation