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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.
Complexitysame
LowLowLow
Timedifferent
5-20 min30-120 min1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
3-202-6Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsObservation Notes, Improvement IdeasInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
LeanObservationProcessOperations
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
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Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving