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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowHigh
Timedifferent
5-20 min45-90 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-203-126-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsForce Field Map, Change Levers, Risk NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
ChangeDecisionStrategy
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test