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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 60-120 min | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions |
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