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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Independent contributions form an ordered group priority list.
Facilitation
Nominal Group Technique
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When loud voices could dominate a round, Nominal Group Technique protects individual thinking time from group effects. It collects ideas separately first and only then enables shared weighting.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
5-20 min45-60 min60-120 min
Participantsdifferent
3-202-85-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingRanked Ideas, Clarified Options, Group Priority
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
FacilitationPrioritizationVotingInclusion
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of shared options, independently placed voting dots, and a highlighted shortlist.
Facilitation
Dot Voting
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration for 1-2-4-All.
Facilitation
1-2-4-All