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Criterion
Paper illustration for Diary Study.
UX Research
Diary Study
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Purposedifferent
When experiences build up over days or weeks and a single session cannot capture them, Diary Study records the course of everyday life. Recurring triggers, moods, and habits become visible this way, beyond the sharpness of memory.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen30-90 min Setup, danach laufend10-30 min je Item
Participantsdifferent
5-201-81-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Diary Entries, Longitudinal Patterns, Experience TimelineForecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk CommunicationThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
UX researchTrackingBehavior
ForecastingFlowDelivery
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Value Stream Mapping workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Delivery
Value Stream Mapping