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Criterion
Paper illustration for Diary Study.
UX Research
Diary Study
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
When experiences build up over days or weeks and a single session cannot capture them, Diary Study records the course of everyday life. Recurring triggers, moods, and habits become visible this way, beyond the sharpness of memory.The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen60-120 min20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
5-203-10Small cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Diary Entries, Longitudinal Patterns, Experience TimelineFutures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
UX researchTrackingBehavior
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
Paper illustration for Failure Scenario Analysis.
Engineering
Failure Scenario Analysis
Paper illustration of a branching impact map with a Why goal at the root, actor circles, How behavior changes and What options.
Product Strategy
Impact Mapping