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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Trade-off Analysis |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | With limited resources, quality, speed, cost, and risk almost always compete with each other. Trade-off Analysis makes these tensions explicit and prevents decisions from producing hidden side effects. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 45-120 min | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Trade-off Matrix, Criteria List, Decision Rationale, Accepted Downsides | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | TradeoffsDecisionCriteriaOptions | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |
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