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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Decision Making OODA Loop |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 15-60 min je Zyklus |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy |
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