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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Facilitation Six Thinking Hats |  Decision Making Decision Tree |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When a topic gets stuck too quickly in the same thinking mode, Six Thinking Hats deliberately separates the perspectives. This means facts, risks, creativity, and emotional signals get worked through one after another instead of mixed together. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 4-12 | 1-6 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Perspective Notes, Decision Inputs, Action Items | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | FacilitationOptionsDecision | DecisionTreeOptions |
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