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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Risk Storming.
Architecture
Risk Storming
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Helps clarify architecture context, options, and consequences in concrete terms. It organizes technical context, alternatives, and consequences. The result is captured as an Annotated Diagram, a Prioritized Risk List, and an Action Backlog.
Complexitydifferent
HighLow
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen60-90 min
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten4-12
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesAnnotated Diagram, Prioritized Risk List, Action Backlog
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
RiskArchitectureWorkshopValidation
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Paper illustration of the Lightning Decision Jam working structure.
Facilitation
Decision Jam