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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Product Vision Board with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
Product Vision Board
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When a product needs a shared direction, it connects target audience, benefit, and business picture in a clear vision. It makes the envisioned future legible for the team.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowLow
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen1-2 h1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten2-8Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesProduct Vision Board, Vision Statement, Assumptions and Validation QuestionsInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
VisionCanvasStrategyAlignment
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration for Alignment Mapping.
Facilitation
Alignment Mapping
Paper illustration of a two-by-two Ansoff Matrix with four growth directions
Business Strategy
Ansoff Matrix