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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery Pretotyping |
|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Pretotyping clarifies whether a customer problem and solution idea create enough real demand. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence, and captures the result as a pretotyping sketch, test setup, and conversion data. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | Stunden bis wenige Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-4 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Pretotyping sketch, Test setup, Conversion data, Go or no-go decision |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ValidationDemandMVP |
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