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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLow
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen15-60 min je Zyklus5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten1-83-20
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
EstimationEffortRisk
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test