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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Innovation Lean Startup |
|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | LeanStartupValidationMVP |
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