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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Operations Kepner-Tregoe |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. |
Complexitysame | High | High | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 2-8 h | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Problem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk Plan | Leverage Map, Action Strategy |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy |
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