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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Agile Ideal Days |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 15-60 min | 5-20 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-9 | 3-20 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity Caveats | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | EstimationEffortAgile | EstimationEffortRisk |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
