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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Knowledge Modeling IBIS |  Operations Root Cause Tree Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | IBIS structures thinking about complex questions as a sequence of issues, ideas, and arguments. The method keeps discussions open without forcing them into premature consensus. | For a problem with several suspected causes, the method builds a causal structure instead of a mere list. It makes visible how causes connect and where the strongest points of leverage lie. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Issue Map, Positions, Argument Notes | Cause Tree, Evidence Notes, Countermeasures |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | RationaleKnowledgeDecision | Root causeTreeIncidentQuality |
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