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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Growth Hooked Model |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | The Hooked Model helps clarify engagement loops, user behavior, and experiments. It makes repeat behavior measurable and captures the result as a hooked loop, trigger map, and reward design. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | Multiple workshops over several weeks | 1-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | Nutzertraffic |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Hooked loop, Trigger map, Reward design, Ethics check | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | GrowthBehaviorRetention | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth |
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