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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |
|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. |
Complexitysame | High | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 2-4 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
