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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Decision Tree |  Growth Flywheel |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. | Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 30-90 min | 60-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-6 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List | Flywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment Backlog |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | DecisionTreeOptions | GrowthRetentionConversion |
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